NFL Week 11 predictions: our picks against the spread

Detroit Lions to the Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m., Fox Line: Bruns -10 | Total: 45 Baker Mayfield has been campaigning from the top do...


Detroit Lions to the Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Bruns -10 | Total: 45

Baker Mayfield has been campaigning from the top down for a contract extension and is trending downward. The Browns (5-5) are the last in the AFC North, and he completed just 52% of his passes for 73 yards last week in a resounding loss to the Patriots that Mayfield left in the second half due to knee injury.

Mayfield’s status is a daily one as he heals that injury and a sick shoulder, but coach Kevin Stefanski has said he expects Mayfield to play against the Lions (0-8-1), who have recently played the first draw of the season. Detroit took Pittsburgh into overtime last week and looked edgy as they finally tried to get a win. If Mayfield is even somewhat effective, and running back Nick Chubb clears Covid-19 protocols, Cleveland should cover at home. To take: Browns -10

Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Titans -10.5 | Total: 44.5

The Titans (8-2) have won both of their games without star running back Derrick Henry, but they are still without Julio Jones (hamstring), who must miss at least two more games while in the reserve. injuried people. Ryan Tannehill, AJ Brown and the cast of replacement Titans full-backs are expected to face little resistance from the Texans (1-8), who are resting after a week off but whose defense has yielded the second most. large number of rushing yards (1,232) in the league. To take: Titans -10.5

Miami Dolphins in Jets, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Dolphins -3 | Total: 45.5

The Dolphins (3-7) made their 2020 blitz methodology aggressive to beat Lamar Jackson last week, and that can certainly give Joe Flacco problems. Mike White threw four interceptions against the Bills, clearing up any quarterback controversy for the Jets (2-7). While Zach Wilson is still recovering from a knee injury, coach Robert Saleh chose to pitch Flacco, a 14-season veteran, against White. To take: Dolphins -3

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Eagles -1.5 | Total: 45

After skipping the run earlier in the season, the Eagles (4-6) have run for over 130 yards in each of their last four games, including two 200-yard performances. This strategy might not work against the Saints (5-4), whose defense only allowed more than 100 rushing yards once. The Saints have been unbearably hard to predict, but while running back Alvin Kamara’s (knee) status isn’t clear, the defense is likely to carry New Orleans, forcing the Eagles back to rely on Jalen Hurts. To take: Saints +1.5

San Francisco 49ers to Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: 49ers -7 | Total: 46

Jacksonville (2-7). The 49ers offense relies on bad direction and contact play, a challenge for a defense that still sits there.

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