What time do the polls open and close in the California recall election?

Follow our updates live on the California recall election . California voters will decide to recall Governor Gavin Newsom Tuesday, con...

Follow our updates live on the California recall election.

California voters will decide to recall Governor Gavin Newsom Tuesday, concluding an idiosyncratic election held amid a pandemic and closely watched as one of the first major indicators of the country’s political direction since President Biden took office.

Democrats are feeling more and more confident, predicting that Mr Newsom will prevail and avoid what would be a disaster for the party in California, the most populous state in the country. If Mr Newsom is recalled, his likely replacement would be Larry Elder, a Conservative radio host who has made a career out of denigrating Liberal causes.

But the fact that the Democratic governor of a state Mr Biden won by nearly 30 percentage points is forced to fight to keep his post has highlighted the vulnerabilities of leaders who seemed well positioned before the coronavirus pandemic. .

Democrats are trying to energize voters without former President Donald J. Trump on the ballot, and a defeat – if not a narrow victory – would raise questions about Mr. Biden’s political weight, who campaigned with Mr. Newsom Monday evening.

Leading Republicans vying to replace Mr Newsom have embraced Mr Trump and his baseless claims of a stolen election, an early sign of the party’s reluctance or inability to distance itself from the former president.

Although the special nature of California recall the elections does not provide a perfect barometer of national state of mind, there are many issues at stake, including the leadership of the world’s fifth largest economy. Political insiders from both parties note that Mr Newsom’s fate could have far-reaching national consequences, given the governor’s power to appoint a new senator in the event of a vacancy.

The voters are asked two questions: Does Mr. Newsom need to be recalled? And if this happens, who should replace it? Forty-six candidates, about half of them Republicans, are on the ballot, along with seven certified candidates in writing.

The winner will serve the remainder of Mr Newsom’s term, which ends in January 2023. Whatever the outcome, there will be another election in just over a year.

Polling stations close at 8 p.m. Pacific time. Depending on the number of early polls and the number of in-person votes on Tuesday, the calculations could be clear a few hours after the polls close, according to election experts. But if the race is tighter than expected, weeks could go by as the count drags on.

To follow our live updates and here’s what we’re looking at as the results are released.

Early returns suggest California’s huge Democratic base is rallying for Mr Newsom, who was elected in 2018 in a landslide. The governor’s campaign presented the recall as a Republicans take power from Trump.

If Mr Newsom is recalled, it will be because a critical mass of independent voters and Democrats voted against him, which in California would suggest a significant – and unlikely – turn to the right.

The most likely question is whether the governor wins by a wide or narrow margin. For a while, polls seemed to indicate likely voters were not enthusiastic about Mr Newsom, which sparked a torrent of support from major donors and appearances from national Democratic figures, including Mr. Biden.

A decisive victory for Mr Newsom, as some recent polls predict, would strengthen him as a campaign for a second term in 2022 approaches and perhaps even position him for a national post. But if Mr Newsom wins by just a few percentage points, he could face a major challenge next year.

Republicans make up only a quarter of registered voters in California. Since the 1990s, when the party’s anti-immigrant positions alienated Latinos, their numbers have declined. Supporters have presented the recall as a way to check the power of the Democrats, who control all state offices and the legislature. Republicans also say the battle has animated their party base.

But Republican support and money for the recall have failed to approach Mr. Newsom’s Big Operation and War Chest. And Mr. Elder’s candidacy appears to further stigmatize the GOP as being far-right by California standards. Support for moderates like Kevin faulconer, the former mayor of San Diego, is in single digits, polls show.

Critics of the GOP under Mr. Trump say a failure to impeach Mr. Newsom could further reduce Republican influence in California and further polarize the nation.

Latinos are the largest ethnic group in California, representing about 30 percent of registered voters – a largely Democratic constituency that has shaped state governance for decades.

But to the dismay of Mr Newsom’s party and much to the interest of supporters of the recall, Latinos were slow to weigh on his ouster, thanks to a combination of distraction – many voters are more focused on navigating the pandemic – and ambivalence, both about Mr. Newsom in particular and the Democratic Party as a whole.

Critics have warned that California Democrats have recklessly assumed that the Latin American electorate will be driven by memories of Republican anti-immigrant policies, rather than trying to woo Latinos with their vision for the future.

This has sparked speculation whether the fast-growing Latin American vote in California and elsewhere might be within the grasp of candidates willing to work to engage those voters. After the Republicans withdrew significant amounts of Latin support across the country in the 2020 election, a poor performance by Latino voters on the recall could trigger another round of Democratic introspection.

Every registered and active voter in California received a ballot as part of an extension of the pandemic voting rules. Launched in 2020 to ensure the safety of voters and election officials, the system has helped increase participation in more than 70 percent in the presidential election. This month, lawmakers voted to make the system permanent.

California election officials say the vote went smoothly in 2020. But Republicans have claimed that the mail-in ballots invite cheating, echoing Mr. Trump’s baseless claim that Democrats are cheating them. had used to steal the presidential election.

Last week, in an appearance on Newsmax, the former president claimed without evidence that the recall election was “probably rigged”.

Conservative groups Seeking evidence of voter fraud have asked Californians to alert them to recall ballots that arrive in the mail addressed to deceased people or voters not residing at their addresses.

The warnings about postal voting appear to have had an effect: Republicans have been reluctant to adopt the practice – a trend that worries some party members as more states adopt postal voting. Yet, on the eve of the election, nearly 40% of all registered voters had already voted, a considerable share that suggests the ease of advance voting and postal voting will increase turnout in what is a special election at an unusual time.

This bodes well for Mr Newsom, who relies on the state’s huge Democratic voter base: the higher the overall turnout, according to his campaign, the better his odds.

Still, analysts are watching if a significant number of Republican voters vote in person on Tuesday, and if younger and Latino voters will join them.

If Covid-19 did not have prepare the terrainMr. Newsom would probably not be fighting for his job now. But lately he has some progress to report. Cases have declined this month in California, where indoor face masks have become a reality in many places, and some 80% of those eligible have received at least one dose of the vaccine.

In recent weeks, Mr Newsom has trumpeted California’s approach, noting that mask and vaccination requirements have reduced the number of new cases. at half the price reported in Republican-led states.

Californians said no problem matters to them anymore than defeating the coronavirus. Broad support for Mr Newsom, beyond Democratic voters, could signal policymakers elsewhere – including in some of the dozens of other states with governor races next year – that strong health policies can be good policy.

Other Democratic candidates running this fall have also looked at policies such as mask and vaccine warrants while alarming that their Republican opponents would reverse these measures. Mr. Biden followed suit, offering tighter policies around terms of office and harsher rhetoric for Republican governors.

For four years, Democrats have enjoyed huge gains thanks to Mr. Trump. The former president energized party activists, helped their candidates raise mountains of campaign money and led voters to the polls in record numbers.

Mr. Newsom has tried to maintain this inspiration, offering frequent warnings about the continuation of “Trumpism” in American politics. His recall election offers the first major test of whether the former president’s specter still has the power to mobilize liberal voters while keeping moderates voting Democratic.

Republican side, the top of the list embraced Mr. Trump’s political playbook, proposing baseless allegations of electoral fraud and “rigged” votes. Mr. Elder declined to say whether he would accept the election results.

Not all Republicans agree with this playbook. Some fear that some Republicans are staying at home because they think their votes won’t count, and a low turnout might lend credence to that argument.

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Newsrust - US Top News: What time do the polls open and close in the California recall election?
What time do the polls open and close in the California recall election?
Newsrust - US Top News
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