Is this the coldest summer of the rest of our lives?

There’s a dark joke about this year’s extreme temperatures that has haunted me for weeks: it’s the coldest summer of the rest of our liv...


There’s a dark joke about this year’s extreme temperatures that has haunted me for weeks: it’s the coldest summer of the rest of our lives.

The prospect is just terrifying considering what this year has done.

In June, dizzying temperatures in the Pacific Northwest killed up to 600 people. Several hikers have been found dead in California in recent weeks, possibly due to temperatures above 100 degrees Fahrenheit. Overall, July ranked as the hottest month in human history.

So from my apartment in Los Angeles which regularly crosses 85 degrees indoors, I called climatologists and asked them, “Will every coming summer be even hotter than this one?” “

The short answer was: Yes, in general.

Vijay Limaye, climate and health specialist at the Natural Resources Defense Council, told me that each recent decade has been unmistakably warmer than the last, so it’s highly likely that the years to come will continue to break heat records. .

“We should act as if it is going to be the case: that it will be the coldest summer when we look to the future,” he said.

A United Nations report released this month found that Earth is locked in intensifying global warming for the next 30 years because countries have delayed too long in reducing their fossil fuel emissions. Preventing further warming is within reach, but would require a coordinated and immediate global effort, according to the report.

The effects of climate change are visible locally. The average high temperature in July in Los Angeles has risen by more than two degrees since the 1960s, as it has in Boston, Washington, DC, Atlanta and several other cities.

And it will probably continue to climb. In Los Angeles County in 1990, the average annual maximum temperature – an average of the daily maximum – was 74 degrees. In 2090, the average maximum temperature will be between 80 and 82 degrees, according to state projections.

“The climate your kids are going to experience is unlike any other climate you’ve experienced,” said Paul Ullrich, UC Davis professor of regional and global climate modeling. “There was no possibility in your lifetime for the types of temperature that your children will experience on average.”

But that doesn’t mean that 2022 in your city will definitely be hotter than 2021 has been. There are year-to-year fluctuations in this global warming, especially at the local level. In California, for example, the El Niño weather phenomenon could make an unusually cold year.

“It’s really important not to create these deceptively simplistic expectations for the public,” said Julien Emile-Geay, climatologist at the University of Southern California. “If we expect everything to gradually heat up, then next year if it’s cooler, people will say, ‘Ha ha, climate change doesn’t exist.’ “

Here’s another way to look at it: the hottest year on record in the world was 2016, followed by 2020, so it’s not as if every consecutive year is warmer than the last.

But the general trend is clear. The top seven hottest years on Earth were for the past seven years.

For more:

  • A Times guide to how to reduce your carbon footprint.

  • Between forest fires, drought and resurgence of the virus, this summer has been tough. Is this the beginning of the end of summer as we have known it? My colleague Shawn Hubler reports.

  • The Times created this tool a few years ago that allows you to track warm up in your hometown. (I learned that Thousand Oaks, where I grew up, experienced about 20 days of over 90 degrees a year in the early 1990s, but is now approaching 30.)


Thirteen U.S. servicemen were killed in the Kabul airport attack last week – some of the latest casualties in America’s longest war. President Biden flew to Delaware for assist in the transfer of remains on Sunday.

Of the 13 killed, 10 were based at Camp Pendleton in San Diego County and several were from California. Learn more about them.


California

  • Caldor’s Fire: The smoke invades Lake Tahoe and disconcerts the thousands of new arrivals who have fled there in recent months to escape the coronavirus, The Times reports. Also there are new research into the effects of smoke and ash from forest fires on your skin. (It’s not pretty.)

    By Sunday night, fire crews were fighting to repel the Caldor fire and prevent it from spreading to the Tahoe Basin, The San Francisco Chronicle reports. The fire was 19 percent content.

  • Covid-19 in schools: Unvaccinated, unmasked Marin County teacher infected 12 of the 24 students in his primary school class with the coronavirus, revealing how easily the virus can spread inside schools when people are not wearing masks.

  • Doctors are spreading misinformation: There is a growing call to discipline doctors who disseminate incorrect information about the coronavirus and vaccines. Earlier this year, a San Francisco doctor who falsely claimed 5G technology caused the pandemic surrendered his license.

  • These Californian shuttles: The number of super-commuters, people who travel 90 minutes or more each way to get to work, has increased by 45% over the past decade. Five of the 10 metropolitan regions with the the highest percentage of supernavitters nationwide were in California, with Stockton at the top of the list.

  • If California turns red: With Democrats holding qualified majorities in both houses of the state legislature, any Republican who could beat Gov. Gavin Newsom in the recall election would be parachuted into politically hostile territory. Newsom’s successor might find winning the race easier than ruling a state that has become the cornerstone of America’s liberal agenda, Political reports.

  • Drug overdoses: California wants to become the first state to pay drug addicts to stay sober, a program the federal government has already shown effective for military veterans, NPR reports.

  • Water rights: A few lucky California farmers are immune to emergency water cuts under the state’s complicated water rights system, which some experts say is ripe for reform as extreme drought amplifies inequalities within it, reports The Los Angeles Times.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

  • Mountain lion: A 65-pound mountain lion seriously injured a boy in his backyard in Calabasas last week. The lion was shot by a wildlife officer on Saturday, NBC Los Angeles reports.

  • Protest against the vaccine: Several hundred people gathered near the Santa Monica pier on Sunday to push back the proposed Covid-19 vaccination warrants, reports the Los Angeles Times.

CENTER OF CALIFORNIA

  • Heat and poor air quality: Residents of Fresno are urged to avoid or limit their time outdoors over the next few days due to triple-digit temperatures and poor air quality caused by nearby wildfires, reports L’Abeille Fresno.

  • Cantaloupe country: Mendota is a small town in the Central Valley that bills itself as the “Cantaloupe Center of the World”. But melons are disappearing as farmers leave portions of their melon fields fallow amid the drought or abandon fields where they have already been planted because there is not enough water for the fruits to fallow. survive, The Washington Post reports.

NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

  • A hometown attacked: A Times reporter returned to where she grew up, a valley in Plumas County that was hit hard by the Dixie fire. “The rodeo campgrounds were covered with the tents of National Guard troops and the fairground became the base camp for hundreds of firefighters,” she said. writing.

  • Rural California battered by virus: Mortuaries and hospitals are overcrowded in rural areas upstate, where inoculation rates are low, The Los Angeles Times reports.


In his latest newsletter, Times California restaurant critic Tejal Rao suggests three zucchini recipes that celebrate the versatility of the summer vegetable.


Today’s California travel tip comes from Joe Vela, who recommends Año Nuevo State Park, one of the country’s largest breeding grounds for northern elephant seals.

San Mateo County Park allows visitors to take self-guided walks to see seals between Friday and Monday. A free permit is required to visit the reserve.


How can I check if I am registered to vote?

You can verify if you are registered to vote here. If you haven’t registered within 14 days of an election in California, you can also register on voting day. (So ​​in this case September 14.) You can read more about same-day voter registration here.

Read answers to more of your frequently asked questions about the California recall election here.

Tell us what else you want to know about the recall. Email your questions to CAtoday@nytimes.com.


For years, the Dumbarton Quarry in Fremont was a giant hole in the ground that once provided the rocks used to build Bay Area roads and bridges in the 1950s.

But on Friday, the site along the San Francisco Bay Area reopened as a campground, one of California’s biggest new campsites in decades.

Visit the East Bay Regional Park District Site for more details.


Thanks for reading. I’ll be back tomorrow. – Soumya

PS here the mini-crosswords of the day, and a clue: Finish with black, blue or straw (5 letters).

Briana Scalia and Miles McKinley contributed to California Today. You can join the team at CAtoday@nytimes.com.

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