Trump plans to declare victory before election is called, report says – live updates | US news

Pollsters from either side of the political spectrum gave their takes on Tuesday’s election during a panel discussion on NBC’s Meet the P...


Pollsters from either side of the political spectrum gave their takes on Tuesday’s election during a panel discussion on NBC’s Meet the Press.

Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt said “it’s going to be very hard” for Donald Trump to overcome Joe Biden’s six-point battleground state lead.

“It’s going to be very hard for a couple of reasons,” Horwitt said. “One, is unlike 2016, this is really a referendum on Donald Trump. We’ve had four years of the Trump presidency. We know what it is like, we’ve seen it, we’ve lived through it. And for the first three years, we wondered what an unconventional president, how he would address a crisis not of his own making. And in his fourth year of his presidency, we know, and the verdict is not, not good when we have 40%, who can approve of the job he’s doing in handling Covid-19.

“And then, you know, the other thing is that the numbers really have been stable in terms of the trial lead at 10 points now. It was 11 and 14 in debates. There’s been no movement to really suggest that Donald Trump is making, making ground. And the last point is Joe Biden. Joe Biden is net positive, his personal ratings have improved over time, which was not the case in 2016, while Donald Trump remains net negative.”

Republican pollster Bill McInturff said the outcome will come down to states with “huge numbers of white, non-college who’ve not yet voted”.

“Look, they’re a volatile group, but I think the other thing to look at is who has not voted,” McInturff said. “Among the roughly three out of 10 people who say they have not voted yet, they’re voting for Donald Trump by almost 30 points. And the states to look at – and you focused on the right thing, which is white, non-college – look at the states with huge numbers of white, non-college who’ve not yet voted: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin. And this election is going to come down to those states again.

“And just like we’ve seen historic early vote, I think we’re going to see a historic vote. I think another thing to remember is like ’04, like 2012, those are two incumbent races, Bush and Obama, where you give smart people a lot of time, a lot of money to change the composition of the electorate. The Republican Party’s done a good job of registering new people in these states and they have devoted a year to try to increase turnout in rural and with white, non-college in these states, and I think these states are going to get very, very close.”

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Newsrust: Trump plans to declare victory before election is called, report says – live updates | US news
Trump plans to declare victory before election is called, report says – live updates | US news
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