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Your Election Night Cheat Sheet

Category: Political News,Politics

Want to know if the Democrats or the Republicans have the edge in winning control of the House and Senate?

Here is our cheat sheet for key toss-up races to track Tuesday night.

Remember: Republicans need to win a much higher percentage of competitive House races than Democrats do because so many G.O.P. seats are toss-ups.

So any one Republican victory is a modest sign of a good night for Republicans, while any given Democratic victory is a solid or strong sign of a good night for Democrats.

Barr, the incumbent, won by 22 points in 2016

If Barr wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night

If McGrath wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night

Polls close at 6 p.m. Could take a few hours before a clear result.


Brat, the incumbent, won by 15 points in 2016.

If Brat wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Spanberger wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 7 p.m. Could be a relatively quick vote count.


Taylor, the incumbent, won by 23 points in 2016.

If Taylor wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Luria wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 7 p.m. Could be a few hours before a clear result.


Neither is an incumbent.

If Spano wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Carlson wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 8 p.m. Should be a relatively quick vote count.


Curbelo, the incumbent, won by 12 points in 2016.

If Curbelo wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Mucarsel-Powell wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be a few hours before a clear result.

MacArthur, the incumbent, won by 20 points in 2016.

If MacArthur wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Kim wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be a couple hours before a clear result.


This district has been redrawn but is very similar to the seat Mr. Fitzpatrick holds.

If Fitzpatrick wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.

If Wallace wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.

Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be several hours before a clear result.

Indiana

Missouri

Florida

New Jersey

Montana

Tennessee

Texas

Arizona

Nevada


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